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The analysis · Australia

Autumn Glow

Eleven wins from twelve starts, and a page that read like it.

The read

What the pedigree page says

95
Pedigree analysis score · out of 100

Every signal the engine could read on this horse's page, and what each one did to the score. Scoring starts at a neutral 60 and moves only on what can be verified.

AddsSire The Autumn Sun has a strong winners-to-runners record (63% vs 42% average)Up
AddsDam Via Africa was a stakes performerUp
AddsDam won 10 racesUp
AddsDeep black-type family (3 stakes performers close up)Up
AddsSiblings perform: 2/2 raced siblings have wonUp
The page itself

Sire, dam and family

Sire257 runners, 163 winners (63%), 11 stakes winnersThe Autumn Sun
Dam10 wins. Equus Champion Sprinter in South Africa and a three-time Group One winnerVia Africa
DamsireThe second sire on the pageVar
FamilyThree black-type performers close up, including her half-brother In The Congo, a Group One Golden Rose winner
SiblingsBoth of her dam's other runners are winners
What actually happened

On the racecourse, and in the ring

None of the below is used in the score. It is here so you can see the page and the horse side by side, which is the entire point of this exercise.

Record12 starts, 11 wins, 1 third
Group One winsThree: Epsom Handicap, Verry Elleegant Stakes, George Ryder Stakes
Prize moneyCareer earnings to dateUS$5.9m
Sale historyUS$1.17m as a yearling, Inglis Easter 2023, from the Silverdale Farm draft. She had made US$390,000 as a weanling the year before.

Her card is the one case where a database would have misled us. Breednet lists Via Africa as unraced, because its Australian records do not carry South African form. She is in fact a three-time Group One winner. Reading the dam correctly is most of the difference between a middling score and this one.

The score reads this horse's pedigree page as it stands today and nothing else. It is a score for the page, not a rating of the racehorse, and it is not a claim we picked them as yearlings. A horse's own black type is never counted in its own family. Prize money and prices are converted to US dollars at recent rates. Back to all eight

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